Where Has all the COVID Gone?

I haven’t put an isolation gown on in three shifts.   I even forgot to put a surgical mask on when I got out of my fly car yesterday to go into the Subway to buy a cold drink. (I apologized to the clerk).

With the warm weather and the people back out on the streets, there is a different feel in the air.  SUMMERTIME!

And the state is reopening is a big way.  The governor just loosened restrictions on the size of gatherings from five to ten indoors and has allowed gatherings of up to 25 outdoors.  The barber shops are reopening on Monday!  Farewell to my hippie-do! Gyms are opening in three weeks.  Say goodbye to my quarantine flab! Most of the state colleges have announced they will be allowing students back on campus in the fall!  So long middle daughter!  It’s been nice having you home while it lasted! And the Indian casinos are opening this week!  (But no food buffets, sadly).

Hospitalizations of COVID-19 patients continue to plummet.  They are now at less than a quarter of what they were at their April peak.  And the Hartford Courant is reporting that a new COVID model out of MIT says “Connecticut’s reopening is unlikely to cause a major resurgence in COVID-19 cases, assuming some restrictions such as social distancing are kept in place.”

Connecticut’s reopening is unlikely to cause a large resurgence in COVID-19 cases, new MIT model says

Dimitris Bertsimas, the head of the MIT model team, said “Assuming we have some reasonable measures — namely we don’t open the society completely — I don’t expect in Connecticut anyway a very significant second wave.”

Wow!

I’m ready to put my bathing suit on.

But is safe to go back in the water?

Dun-dun! Dun-dun!  Dun-dun! Dun-dun!

Don’t put your binoculars down yet.

I don’t think COVID is through with us yet.

3 Comments

  • Ray Collins says:

    Third, here is a copy and paste from an email i sent to a local policymaker about the historic behavior of pandemics.

    In response to a request for a rapid expert consultation, the National Academy of Sciences pointed out that the ten influenza pandemics over 250 years did not display seasonality. Instead, there was a second spike of cases six months after the initial wave (top of p. 6). This second spike was independent of the season.

    https://www.nap.edu/read/25771/chapter/1#5

    Dr. Anthony Fauci later alluded to this report and expects the same pattern for the COVID-19 pandemic. For Austin, that would be a second spike sometime in September.

  • Mary Baker says:

    Please keep posting about what you see in your line of work. I’m very worried that testing is being restricted again, or that reporting is being altered. For example, reportedly Florida’s pneumonia deaths are double normal, but COVID is plummeting. People are still dying, but they’re not reporting it as COVID.

  • medicscribe says:

    Thanks for the comments. I am afraid we will eventually face additional waves. Let’s hope out leaders provide us with accurate data.

    best,

    Peter

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